Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 106.138718 122.325277 141.467334 166.145688 197.684995 237.470632 2.928773e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 83.562887 102.636138 127.551261 163.696806 217.095542 297.451953 4.379415e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 72.745869 92.861524 120.818894 164.670530 236.479936 360.441831 6.253667e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 65.071072 85.489047 115.238241 164.883193 253.506397 426.679800 8.804566e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 57.590697 77.094475 106.413312 157.453406 254.338465 462.278372 1.109369e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 54.210796 74.189939 105.362684 162.516407 279.841768 565.829476 1.724745e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 49.558025 68.737975 99.356212 157.355448 282.663788 616.319916 2.284170e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 46.824439 65.965572 97.352367 159.176111 301.464836 726.774201 3.652073e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 43.677782 62.199630 93.145338 155.820447 306.926959 801.126558 5.370432e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 43.537588 63.311457 97.586483 171.000254 366.073770 1148.867704 1.970280e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 44.008882 65.473151 104.223225 192.717546 457.402855 1870.407731 2.768975e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 41.858310 62.862106 101.429967 191.960498 477.530377 2239.738507 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 39.097558 59.303043 97.081952 188.437517 494.263783 2747.480084 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 36.635159 56.119693 93.215527 185.676037 515.204336 3504.218832 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 34.830833 53.941000 91.064013 186.823375 554.241959 4966.883363 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 33.155193 51.839413 88.786376 187.082440 591.232824 7207.794332 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.963875 48.589360 83.680186 178.159505 577.429734 8091.715740 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 30.070810 47.734295 83.670362 184.235862 650.100349 16035.797303 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.427646 45.305325 79.901386 178.042152 648.153627 20711.735167 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.470463 44.143271 78.860772 180.225147 702.610731 46540.129800 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.213713 42.303616 76.081219 176.203370 713.025042 81746.687971 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 26.310272 43.156650 79.649783 194.454983 920.478728 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 26.670735 44.574596 84.804106 220.821358 1295.671371 NaN NaN